The weather may be colder, but the football is only heating up from here, with many teams on the cusp of elimination. These last few weeks are the most important in any given football season, with any game being make or break. Who is going to get knocked out this week, and who is going to stay alive? Let’s find out with my picks for this weekend’s games.
Playoff Scenarios
AFC Clinching Scenarios
Ravens Clinch AFC North: Win or Steelers loss/tie
Ravens Clinch First Round Bye: Win + Patriots loss/tie, or win + Chiefs loss/tie, or tie + Chiefs loss
Ravens Clinch Home-Field Advantage: Win + Patriots loss + Chiefs loss/tie
Bills Clinch Playoff Berth: Win
Patriots Clinch Playoff Berth: Win/tie
Clinched: Ravens, Chiefs
AFC Elimination Scenarios
Broncos Eliminated: loss, or Steelers win/tie, or Titans/Texans tie
Raiders Eliminated: loss + Steelers win/tie, loss + Texans/Titans tie, or tie + Colts loss + Titans clinch at least a tie in strength of victory
Colts Eliminated: loss, or tie + Steelers win/tie
Browns Eliminated: loss + Steelers win/tie, loss + Texans/Titans tie, or tie + Steelers win
Already Eliminated: Dolphins, Jets, Bengals, Chargers, Jaguars
NFC Clinching Scenarios
Packers Clinch Playoff Berth: Win + Rams loss/tie, or tie + Rams loss
Niners Clinch Playoff Berth: Win/tie, or Rams loss/tie, or Vikings loss + Packers loss
Seahawks Clinch Playoff Berth: Win + Rams loss/tie, or win + Vikings loss, or win + Packers loss + Vikings tie, or tie + Rams loss
Clinched: Saints
NFC Elimination Scenarios
Bears Eliminated: loss + Vikings win, or loss + Rams win
Already Eliminated: Giants, Falcons, Cardinals, Lions, Redskins, Buccaneers, Panthers
Last Week’s Score: 9-7
Overall Score: 130-78
Thursday Night Football: New York Jets (5-8) @ Baltimore Ravens (11-2)
Lamar Jackson has become the second quarterback in NFL History to rush for 1,000 yards in a season. If that doesn’t give him the MVP, I don’t know what will. They had a defensive battle against the Buffalo Bills, but in the end they came out on top and clinched a spot in the playoffs. Now they control their destiny to not only win the AFC North, but can nab the #1 seed and home-field advantage throughout the playoffs with a little bit of shenanigans. The Ravens are going to do their part and crush the New York Jets.
Prediction: Ravens
Philadelphia Eagles (6-7) @ Washington Redskins (3-10)
The Redskins have finally been eliminated from playoff contention. The Redskins got beaten down and have some key injuries to Ryan Kerrigan, Derrius Guice, and Dwayne Haskins. Respect to Dwayne for his toughness, but this game proved that Washington has learned nothing from the RGIII situation. Haskins shouldn’t have been playing on that bad ankle. The Eagles beat the New York Football Giants in overtime on Monday Night Football, putting themselves in position to overtake the Dallas Cowboys and first place in the NFC East. They’ll do just that, even with a bunch of practice squad receivers. The Redskins are going to do everything in their power to hand Philly the game. Let’s hope they don’t screw it up.
Prediction: Eagles by 20
Houston Texans (8-5) @ Tennessee Titans (8-5)
Man, the Texans got smacked last week. They let the Broncos put up 38 points. Even with that loss, they’re still technically in first place of the AFC South. Now, we’ll have to see if they can hold on to that lead because they got a pivotal matchup against the Tennessee Titans. The Titans are riding a four game winning streak thanks to yet another lights-out performance from Ryan Tannehill. He completed 78% of his passes and threw for 391 yards. Honestly, he is the guy going forward in Tennessee, and if I were Mike Vrabel, I’d build the offense around him. I’m going to pick the Texans to rebound, win this game and be in position to clinch the division.
Prediction: Texans
Miami Dolphins (3-10) @ New York Giants (2-11)
For the second week in a row, the Miami Dolphins are going back to the Meadowlands. They barely lost to the Jets, but they remembered they had to preserve the tank. Now they have a super tough test in store in terms of the New York Football Giants, who have lost their ninth straight game. Right now this game is all about draft position. The Giants have the second pick, and the Dolphins have the fourth pick. In this crapfest, I’m going to pick the Giants to continue to tank and secure the second pick in the draft.
Prediction: Dolphins
Chicago Bears (7-6) @ Green Bay Packers (10-3)
I’m surprised that the 200th meeting of the NFL’s oldest rivalry isn’t on primetime television. The Chicago Bears are in a dangerous position right now. They need to win out essentially to get in the playoffs. Mitchell Trubisky has played well over the past couple of weeks, throwing for 300+ yards and leading the Bears to crucial wins over the Detroit Lions and the Dallas Cowboys. Mitch needs to play the perfect game to upend A-Rod and the Packers at home, and for Khalil Mack to be the killing machine he’s supposed to be. I’m expecting this to be a close game, and I’m going to pick the Packers to come out on top.
Prediction: Packers
New England Patriots (10-3) @ Cincinnati Bengals (1-12)
A lot of people are giving up on New England after they lost back to back games, although this one had a little bit of referee shenanigans. Now they’re in to Cincinnati, and they’re going to easily rebound. This is basically going to be like playing a game of Madden on rookie.
Prediction: Patriots
Seattle Seahawks (10-3) @ Carolina Panthers (5-8)
The Seahawks were upset last week on Sunday Night Football, but still have a playoff spot locked up. Now they play a rebuilding Carolina Panthers, whose interim head coach will be in for a bad time. The Seahawks are going to win and win big.
Prediction: Seahawks
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-7) @ Detroit Lions (3-9-1)
Jameis Winston is having the best season of his career. He is three touchdowns away from beating his career high, and already has hit his career highs in passing yards, interceptions, and sacks. Like my friend Brodie says, if they get a better defense and Jameis cuts down in his turnovers, the Bucs could be scary next year. Now they’re playing the fellow sadsack Lions, who have lost their sixth consecutive game, the second longest losing streak in the league behind the Giants. I just think that this is going to be the game where Jameis Winston looks like the franchise guy he’s supposed to be as the Bucs blow the Lions out of the water. As long as Jameis doesn’te decide to throw a b unch of picks.
Prediction: Buccaneers
Denver Broncos (5-8) @ Kansas City Chiefs (9-4)
Congratulations to the Chiefs for not only beating the Patriots, but clinching the AFC West. Everyone in the NFL rejoiced that day, and the Chiefs now have another shot at the big dance. Getting a first round bye though, will require a nice amount of shenanigans. But The Chiefs could have a tough challenge in the Denver Broncos, who have seemed to finally found their answer at quarterback in Drew Lock. If you guys remember back a couple of months ago, The Chiefs won in a close game thanks to the injury to Patrick Mahomes. Well, Pat’s healthy this time around, and I think that the wrath of Mahomes will be poured out on the Broncos. This game will not be pretty.
Prediction: Chiefs
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-9) @ Oakland Raiders (6-7)
This is an important game in the history of the Oakland Raiders. The reason is that this week’s game is the soon to be Las Vegas Raiders’ final game in Oakland before the move next year. I’m sure that the Raider Nation is going to be very appreciative and not completely boo the Raiders off the field and destroy the place. Raider fans don’t have a violent reputation or anything, the Black Hole is a shadow of what it used to be. Last week Jacksonville was murdered by the Chargers, letting Rivers not only get out of his slump, throwing for 314 yards and three touchdowns without throwing a single pick. I’m going to pick the Raiders to end their time in Oakland on a high note with a win. I just hope they get out of there as fast as they can. The hatred and rioting will be legendary.
Prediction: Raiders
Cleveland Browns (6-7) @ Arizona Cardinals (3-9-1)
Two former Heisman Trophy winning teammates at Oklahoma are going to duke it out. These teams may still be in the rebuilding stage, but this should still be a pretty entertaining game to watch. The Browns continue to have problems, with Odell allegedly wanting out of Cleveland, and Freddie Kitchens losing the team. It’s obvious that he isn’t the right answer at head coach, and the Browns will once again be on the search. The Cardinals lost a close one to the Steelers. They played well, but at the end of the day they were outcoached by Mike Tomlin. The Cardinals have the potential to be an electrifying team, it just takes some time for a proper rebuild. I’m taking the Browns to win in a shootout.
Prediction: Browns
Minnesota Vikings (9-4) @ Los Angeles Chargers (5-8)
The Chargers have been eliminated from playoff contention, and Rivers has gotten out of his slump, with back to back games with a QBR of over 100. I wish that the Chargers won a game or two more, because they’re way too talented to have this kind of record. The Vikings easily dispatched of the Detroit Lions, remaining one game behind the Packers. I’m going to pick the Vikings to beat the Chargers on the road, and get ready for a very pivotal NFC North matchup against the Packers on the night before Christmas Eve.
Prediction: Vikings
Atlanta Falcons (4-9) @ San Francisco 49ers (11-2)
The Niners and the Saints had the game of the year last week, with the Niners proving that they’re the top team in the NFC. All the Niners have to do is win this week and they’ve officially locked up a playoff berth. If the Niners beat the Rams next week, then not only have they locked up the NFC West, but they’ll all but guaranteed to have the top seed in the NFC. Atlanta beat down the Panthers and their new head coach Perry Fewell. This game isn’t going to be like the Niners-Saints game last week, but more of a complete and utter beatdown. I’m going with San Fran.
Prediction: Niners
Los Angeles Rams (8-5) @ Dallas Cowboys (6-7)
Don’t worry Cowgirl fans, Garrett will be fired after y’all lose in the divisional round. That is, if y’all even make it to the playoffs. The Dallas Cowboys have lost three games in a row, and now four of their last five games. Now they squandered what should’ve been an easy runaway division lead. The Eagles are in the driver’s seat now. Next week is pivotal because the winner of that game wins the dumpster fire that is the NFC East. The LA Rams had a statement win last week against the Seahawks, potentially ruining their chances of winning the NFC West. For both of these clubs, winning is the name of the game if they want to get to the big dance. I’m going with the LA Rams to keep up their momentum, and potentially bury the Cowboys.
Prediction: Rams
Sunday Night Football: Buffalo Bills (9-4) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5)
Last week was a minor setback for the Bills, but all they have to do now is win and they’re in for the second time this millennium, and the second time in three years. This is the best Buffalo has looked in years, and with a mountain of shenanigans, The Bills could win the AFC East and get a first round bye in the playoffs. They have a tough test in a battered but still valiant Pittsburgh Steelers squad with their third string QB, Devlin ‘Duck’ Hodges. Hodges. Honestly, my pick for coach of the year this year is Mike Tomlin. Why? Because he’s lost his megastar running back and receiver in the off-season, his starting and backup quarterbacks, and James Connor, yet still has the Steelers in the thick of the playoff hunt. This game is going to be a tight defensive battle, but I’m going to pick the Bills to lock up a playoff spot.
Prediction: Bills
Monday Night Football: Indianapolis Colts (6-7) New Orleans Saints (10-3)
The Saints came up short in a game for the ages. More than 130 first downs, 900 combined yards, and 93 combined points. Wow. What a game. They still have a chance at possibly getting a first round bye, but still don’t have much to worry about in the playoff scope since they’ve already clinched the NFC South. Now they play the Colts, who are in ‘win now mode,’ because the next game they lose, they are done. They lost to the Buccaneers in a shootout last week, even with Jameis’ attempt at giving them the game. I’m going to go with the New Orleans Saints to eliminate the Colts, and try to get the second seed in the NFC.
Prediction: Saints